As the United States hurtles toward the critical November midterm elections, a new nationwide survey reveals that President Donald Trump’s approval rating remains mired at a record low, dragged down significantly by a sharp and unprecedented erosion of support among Hispanic voters.
The comprehensive six-day poll, jointly conducted by the news agency Reuters and the research firm Ipsos and completed on a recent Monday, paints a challenging political landscape for the White House. According to the survey findings, just 32 percent of registered voters nationwide approve of the job Donald Trump is currently doing as president. While this historically low rate has held steady since September, the data uncovers a deeper, more troubling vulnerability for the Republican Party: the rapid unraveling of the president’s hard-won gains among Latino communities.
Trump’s approval rating among Hispanic voters plunged this month to a mere 24 percent, marking its lowest point across either of his two terms in the Oval Office. The decline represents a stunning reversal for a Republican leader who had previously made historic and substantial inroads with this vital demographic constituency.
During the fiercely contested 2024 presidential race, polling from the Pew Research Center estimated that Trump and his Democratic rival, Kamala Harris, were locked in a statistical dead heat among Hispanic voters, capturing 48 percent and 51 percent of the demographic’s support, respectively. That showing marked a dramatic and unprecedented surge for Trump compared to the 2020 presidential election, when he secured just 36 percent of the Hispanic vote on his way to a defeat against Democrat Joe Biden. Political analysts and campaign strategists have long credited that vital boost in Latino support as a primary catalyst that propelled Trump back to the White House in 2024.
However, the latest Reuters-Ipsos findings indicate that those hard-fought gains have largely evaporated. When surveyed about their intentions for the upcoming congressional matchups, roughly 52 percent of Hispanic respondents said they plan to cast their ballots for Democratic candidates in the November midterms, compared to only 26 percent who intend to back Republicans. This means Hispanic voters are now twice as likely to favor the Democratic Party over Trump’s Republican Party, a seismic shift that threatens to upend conservative calculations in competitive districts across the country.
The impending midterm elections are widely viewed by political observers as an unvarnished national referendum on Trump’s second term. The outcomes at the ballot box will decide whether the Republican Party can successfully defend and maintain its legislative majorities in both the US House of Representatives and the Senate.
Emboldened by the president’s persistent low approval ratings and shifting demographic sentiments, Democratic leaders have seized on the polling data. The party is hoping to translate widespread economic frustration and voter discontent into a powerful wave of electoral momentum. Securing a Democratic majority in either or both houses of Congress would fundamentally alter the balance of Washington power, placing substantial legislative and investigative constraints on Trump’s policy agenda for the remainder of his time in office.
Yet, the political tremors are not only emanating from the opposition party; Trump has also faced mounting anxiety and open pushback from within his own Republican ranks as the November 3 election approaches. The tension between the White House and vulnerable incumbent lawmakers has occasionally broken out into the open.
Last month, Republican Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida released a striking campaign television advertisement that directly addressed President Trump. In the ad, Salazar warned the president that his core political coalition was fracturing, stating bluntly that the same Hispanic individuals who helped propel him to the White House in 2024 increasingly feel betrayed today. Salazar specifically pointed to the administration’s hardline immigration enforcement crackdown as a primary source of friction and disillusionment within the community, noting that certain deportation and detention operations had gone too far by targeting immigrants with no criminal record.
Beyond immigration policy, political experts and analysts have warned that the president’s shrinking popularity is being driven by a confluence of compounding domestic and foreign policy concerns. Persistent anxieties regarding the rising cost of living, combined with the administration’s controversial decision to launch a military conflict with Iran, have weighed heavily on public sentiment and threaten to drag down down-ballot Republican candidates in key battleground races nationwide.
Despite the grim polling figures and internal party friction, Trump has remained characteristically defiant, expressing unwavering confidence regarding the electoral prospects of the Republican Party in the upcoming midterms.
Defending his prominent role in the electoral strategy, Trump recently kicked off an intensive, 32-day blitz of cross-country campaign rallies designed to energize the conservative base ahead of November 3. The president has pushed back against suggestions from some political strategists that his low national approval ratings could become a liability for candidates in competitive districts, insisting instead that the party rank-and-file are demanding his presence on the campaign trail.
"Just so you understand, they all want me to go," Trump asserted during a recent public appearance, dismissing reports that certain Republican incumbents would prefer he keep his distance from their local races. "They all want me to go campaign."